Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.000862 0.000926 0.000995 0.001072 0.001158 0.001251 0.001358
2026-02-08 0.000751 0.000837 0.000931 0.001044 0.001177 0.001328 0.001516
2026-02-15 0.000691 0.000789 0.000902 0.001041 0.001212 0.001416 0.001682
2026-02-22 0.000639 0.000744 0.000867 0.001025 0.001225 0.001472 0.001809
2026-03-01 0.000590 0.000697 0.000826 0.000995 0.001214 0.001494 0.001890
2026-03-08 0.000555 0.000664 0.000799 0.000979 0.001219 0.001535 0.001996
2026-03-15 0.000524 0.000635 0.000774 0.000964 0.001221 0.001570 0.002094
2026-03-22 0.000484 0.000592 0.000728 0.000916 0.001177 0.001536 0.002089
2026-03-29 0.000461 0.000569 0.000706 0.000900 0.001174 0.001559 0.002169
2026-04-05 0.000449 0.000560 0.000704 0.000910 0.001206 0.001634 0.002333
2026-04-12 0.000434 0.000545 0.000692 0.000905 0.001218 0.001679 0.002453
2026-04-19 0.000450 0.000573 0.000740 0.000987 0.001360 0.001932 0.002939
2026-04-26 0.000424 0.000544 0.000708 0.000955 0.001334 0.001927 0.002998
2026-05-03 0.000403 0.000521 0.000684 0.000933 0.001322 0.001942 0.003098
2026-05-10 0.000389 0.000508 0.000674 0.000931 0.001340 0.002009 0.003299
2026-05-17 0.000374 0.000491 0.000657 0.000917 0.001338 0.002042 0.003437
2026-05-24 0.000355 0.000470 0.000632 0.000890 0.001314 0.002033 0.003495
2026-05-31 0.000342 0.000455 0.000617 0.000877 0.001310 0.002061 0.003628
2026-06-07 0.000330 0.000441 0.000602 0.000864 0.001305 0.002084 0.003755
2026-06-14 0.000311 0.000417 0.000571 0.000823 0.001250 0.002013 0.003668
2026-06-21 0.000300 0.000405 0.000557 0.000809 0.001242 0.002027 0.003774
2026-06-28 0.000295 0.000401 0.000557 0.000817 0.001273 0.002118 0.004064
2026-07-05 0.000288 0.000393 0.000550 0.000813 0.001282 0.002167 0.004262